Transcripts of the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve from 2002–2008.

Yes, you were. All kudos to you guys. Four of the simulations have slower GDP, higher unemployment, and a lower fed funds rate. In a couple of cases you had, even in the context of slower growth and higher unemployment, somewhat higher inflation. Then you have three or so that show stronger paths. I’m wondering, do you weight these alternative scenarios equally? You know how DRI (DRI is the wrong name now, but I mean the successor company) does it: They give their baseline forecast a certain rate of probability, and then they give alternative rates of probability to the various scenarios. Do you have a sense of that? Would you weight the stronger consumption scenario somewhat higher than the rest or no?

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